Mercados de predicción
IntermedioQué probabilidad le asigna el mercado a lo que viene: Fed, elecciones, precios.
Próxima decisión de la Fed
Mantiene94 %
Recorta35 %
Sube94 %
Cómo leerlo
Son probabilidades que la gente paga con plata real en los mercados de predicción. No predicen el futuro; muestran qué descuenta el mercado hoy. Cuando una probabilidad salta, suele haber una noticia detrás.
Los 30 mercados con más volumen
| Pregunta | Prob. | Volumen |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? — Fed maintains | 94 % | 7,6 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps | 6 % | 5,5 M |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | 94 % | 1,9 M |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 6 % | 1,0 M |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 85 % | 0,7 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Fed maintain | 23 % | 0,4 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike >25bp | 4 % | 0,3 M |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | 92 % | 0,3 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps | 75 % | 0,3 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting? — Hike 25bps | 32 % | 0,1 M |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 89 % | 0,1 M |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | 97 % | 0,1 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting? — Fed maintains ra | 76 % | 0,1 M |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25? | 2 % | 0,1 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Hike >25bp | 2 % | 0,1 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting? — Cut 25bps | 11 % | 0,1 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2027 meeting? — Fed maintains | 65 % | 0,1 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2027 meeting? — Cut >25bps | 2 % | 0,1 M |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Dec 8, 2 | 75 % | 0,1 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting? — Cut 25bps | 3 % | 0,0 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2027 meeting? — Fed maintai | 85 % | 0,0 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2027 meeting? — Cut >25bps | 6 % | 0,0 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting? — Hike 25bps | 15 % | 0,0 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Hike 25bps | 3 % | 0,0 M |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed's Dec 8, 2 | 22 % | 0,0 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their April 2027 meeting? — Fed maintains r | 60 % | 0,0 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting? — Hike 25bps | 59 % | 0,0 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their June 2027 meeting? — Cut >25bps | 6 % | 0,0 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting? — Cut 25bps | 5 % | 0,0 M |
| Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their January 2027 meeting? — Hike >25bps | 5 % | 0,0 M |
Lectura del motor de Bursavia a las 22:44. Las plataformas cambian sus API con frecuencia; si una fuente falla, se muestra la última lectura buena.
Relacionadas:Noticias que importanCalendario económicoPróximos resultadosReloj de mercadosMarcador del motorResumen del día
Contenido educativo. No es asesoría financiera ni recomendación de inversión. Operar implica riesgo de perder dinero: lee el aviso de riesgos. ¿Un término no te suena? Glosario.